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Manhattan Report 2011 - 1st Edition
Within the NYC hotel market, the first quarter of 2011 has been filled with endless activity and countless transactions. Indeed, New York City ranked as the top global city for foreign real estate investment for 2011. New York had made third place in the rankings during 2010.
The Maryland-based DiamondRock Hospitality Company has been delving big-time into NYC developments during the first months of 2011. In January, industry reports confirmed that the company was planning to purchase a hotel property under development on West 42nd Street in Times Square. Depending on the number of guest rooms (probable 250 to 300 guest rooms, $450,000 each), the contractual price was to range between $112.5 million and $135 million. In addition, on March 14, Diamond Rock Hospitality Group announced that it had the right of first refusal to buy the adjacent Knickerbocker Hotel.
With an occupancy rate as high as 88.4%, the NYC hotel market reflects a hot industry. New York City room and vacancy rates are highest in the country. STR Global, a company tracking supply and demand data for the hotel industry, reported that New York had the highest hotel occupancy rate among the top 25 U.S. markets as of March 2010. The Big Apple has been the top tourist destination in the US for the past two years. Forty-eight million tourists visited the city in 2010.
The NYC hospitality industry is thriving in this recovering economy. Statistics suggest higher occupancies during the coming year. According to STR, the NYC hotels were bouncing back from the recession at the end of last year.
Year-end revenue came in at 18% more than the previous year. Despite the fact that the early months of the year are often synonymous with a weak market, January and February 2011 showed a rise in all areas. January occupancy (average daily rate) and (revenue per available room) increased as much as 13.4% over January 2010.
During the first month of 2011, the average daily hotel room rate was $217 - a 6.3% rise from January 2010. Hotel occupancy was 66.0% in the first month of 2011. The biggest rise in the average daily hotel room rate was in higher- priced hotels charging more than $325 per night.
The present ADR is $276.07 in New York City. The cost of a room for the night has increased more in New York than anywhere else in the country. During March 2010, the revenue per available room increased 19.1% from the end of 2009 to an average $178.60 per night. The rate rose another 8.2% (biggest increase in the US) as of last December.
There is no shortage of supply in the New York City hotel market. At least 33 new NYC hotels will open in 2011. More than half of these ventures are independents. The new properties have tremendous potential with the stabilizing market in the Big Apple. The real winners will outshine the competition. Numerous independent hotels have opened since the beginning of 2011.
Mondrian SoHo - One example of an independent property is the unique Mondrian SoHo owned by Morgans Hotel Group Company. This luxurious 270-room hotel opened on March 1 and is off to a profitable start with strong demand and a high occupancy rate. The Mondrian Soho caters to a fashionable clientele.
Gansevoort Park Avenue NYC - Each independent hotel must carve out its own niche in the NYC hotel scene. The 249-room Gansevoort Park Avenue NYC (owned by the Gansevoort Hotel Group), another upscale independent hotel, opened officially in February 2011. This “ultimate urban resort” enjoyed high occupancy following its initial opening in September 2010. This luxury hotel is expected to experience continued success because of its intense focus on providing optimal luxury.
The New York City hospitality industry can accommodate varied hotel types including luxury, boutique, and economy brands. Every hotel category can be successful in this thriving metropolis. NYC hotel guests have a variety of needs (corporate and leisure) as well as different budgets.
Business travelers and vacationing guests will require distinct types of hotels. Obviously, specific hotel brands might do better during certain periods such as peak tourist season. Yet NYC hotels are known as consistent high performers.
Nolitan Hotel – The NYC hotels under construction hope to share in the profitability of the dynamic market in the Big Apple. The 10-storey Nolitan Hotel, the first hotel located in the Nolita (north of Little Italy) neighborhood, plans to entice people to the dining and shopping possibilities in this distinct area of New York City. Patrik Horstmann, GM of the 55-room Nolitan Hotel is focused on creating an exceptional, customer-friendly establishment. Unique hotels in New York City have an outstanding chance of benefiting from the current market.
32 Pearl St. – A new 80-room Hampton Inn is coming to Lower Manhattan (the second Gene Kaufman-designed Hampton in the area). Prestigious hotelier, Sam Chang, plans the development in an Art Deco residential building that he owns already in the neighborhood. Recently, Chang secured a development loan from Philadelphia- based Hersha Hospitality Trust to proceed with construction. When the establishment opens in late 2011, Hersha Hospitality Management will operate the hotel. Hersha Hospitality Trust owns the Hampton Inn at the South Street Seaport as well as the Holiday Inn on Maiden Lane.
In April 2011, TRYP, part of the Sol Melia group with a huge presence among European business travelers, is opening a 173-room property (345 W 35th St.) near Times Square in Lower Manhattan. NH-Hotels, based in Spain and well-known in Europe and Latin America, have additional property in New York. International investors favor the Big Apple for the same reasons as local investors. At a 2011 ALIS (American Lodging Investment Summit) panel, international hotel operators explained that New York City is the place to make a global statement. Demand is the key word that describes the NYC hotel market.
New hotel developments will be cropping up in neighborhoods that were zoned originally as industrial commercial areas. Chelsea and Tribeca are two areas which have been rezoned to encourage development. In January, Choice Hotels International announced the scheduled 2013 opening of Cambria Suites in New York (one of the first two in the city). Another Cambria Suites will appear at Times Square.
During 2010, over 30 new properties (6,200 rooms) opened in New York City. Almost 50 million tourists visited the Big Apple last year. This figure represented a 6.8% increase from 2009 and resulted in the sale of 25.7 million room nights. The city set a record for new hotel developments and sales and had an average occupancy rate of 85%.
According to Smith Travel Research, 40 properties (6,500 rooms) are under construction in New York City. As of February 2011, the city has 86,232 rooms in its active inventory. Hotel development is active throughout the five NYC boroughs - Manhattan, Queens, Brooklyn, the Bronx, and Staten Island. Recent new openings include the Chatwal New York, Setai Fifth Avenue, Aloft Harlem, W Downtown, Element New York Times Square West, Courtyard New York Manhattan/SoHo, Sheraton Brooklyn, and other superb NYC hotels.
During August 2010, PricewaterhouseCoopers projected strong growth for the NYC lodging industry in 2011. The PricewaterhouseCoopers prediction was based on a forecast from Macroeconomic Advisers which projected a revival during the current year. According to the February 16 Hotel Intelligence New York report released by Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels, the volume of hotel deals will double during 2011 in New York City.
This year's hotel deal volume is expected to run between $1.9 billion and $2.4 billion. The most hotel transactions in the US will take place in Manhattan. Between 2011 and 2014, a higher number of hotel transactions are expected to occur in New York City. Wall Street banking activity will drive the activity and numerous existing real estate loans will come due within the next three years. The transactions will cover everything from luxury properties to less expensive real estate. Investors will welcome low prices for luxury hotels. Regardless of prices, however, smart investors are willing to pay for NYC hotels.
Buyers recognize the upward trends in this dynamic market. New York City has a strong reputation on the national and international scene. The historical strength of this vibrant market speaks for itself.
The NYC hospitality market is recovering at a steady pace. An increase in corporate travel is a driving factor behind the continuing growth in New York City hotels. According to STR, hotel occupancies in the leading 25 U.S. markets increased 65% during the first nine months of 2010 compared with the same period in 2009. The Big Apple is a top market.
Since investors are showing interest in the hospitality industry, all signs point to a rebounding market in New York City. ETC advises to "take encouragement from the broad range of positive signals." The recovery predictions have been confirmed by the U.S. Department of Labor Office of Research and the European Travel Commission.
Of course, the state of the NYC hospitality industry is not measured by one real estate deal or even ten transactions. The strength of the market is determined by the overall showing with hotel deals in the Big Apple. There is every reason to have the utmost confidence in the NYC hotel market.
Average Hotel room sold in New York City is now $500k per room.
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